In summary, I have published a total of 85 papers in peer-reviewed
journals, one book, and seven book chapters in 4 different books.
Papers
2024
- Amaral, Lana & Bastos. Was the COVID-19 epidemic synchronous in
space? An analysis in the health regions of the Rio de Janeiro state,
2020-2022. Brazilian Journal of Epidemiology, 2024.
2023
- Carvalho et al.. Bayesian Inference for the Weights in Logarithmic
Pooling. Bayesian Analysis, 2023.
- Ayala et al.. Notification of malaria cases in the Brazilian Amazon
Basin from 2010 to 2020: an analysis of the reporting times. Malaria
Journal, 2023.
- Costa et al.. MDexciteR: Enhanced Sampling Molecular Dynamics by
Excited Normal Modes or Principal Components Obtained from Experiments.
Journal of Chemical Theory and Computation, 2023.
- Brindle, Bastos, et al.. The spatio-temporal distribution of acute
encephalitis syndrome and its association with climate and landcover in
Vietnam. BMC Infectious Diseases, 2023.
- Fuller, Bastos, et al. The Role of Children in Household
Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Across Four Waves of the Pandemic. Journal of
the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society, 2023.
- Penetra et al.. SARS-CoV-2 reinfection cases in a household-based
prospective cohort in Rio de Janeiro. Journal of Infectious
Diseases.
- Ferreira et al.. The expansion of chikungunya in Brazil. Lancet
Regional Health-Americas, 2023.
- Pavani, Bastos & Moraga. Joint spatial modeling of the risks of
co-circulating mosquito-borne diseases in Ceará, Brazil. Spatial and
Spatio-temporal Epidemiology, 2023.
- De Almeida et al.. Registration with Primary Health Care and
COVID-19 mortality: cohort of diabetics from five administrative health
regions in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2020–2021. Brazilian
Journal of Epidemiology, 2023.
- Ferreira et al. Estimating the impact of implementation and timing
of the COVID-19 vaccination programme in Brazil: a counterfactual
analysis. Lancet Regional Health-Americas, 2023.
- Santos et al.. The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against severe
cases and deaths in Brazil from 2021 to 2022: a registry-based study.
Lancet Regional Health-Americas, 2023.
2022
- Sperandei et al.. Assessing logistic regression applied to
respondent-driven sampling studies: a simulation study with an
application to empirical data. International Journal Of Social Research
Methodology, 2022.
- Brasil et al.. Cohort-profile: Household transmission of SARS-CoV-2
in a low-resource community in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. BMJ Open,
2022.
- Leveau & Bastos. Desigualdades socioespaciales de la mortalidad
por COVID-19 en tres olas de propagación: un análisis intraurbano en
Argentina. Cadernos De Saude Publica, 2022.
- Codeço et al.. Fast expansion of dengue in Brazil. The Lancet
Regional Health - Americas, 2022.
- Miller et al.. Faster indicators of chikungunya incidence using
Google searches. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2022.
- Barberia, et al.. Government inaction on COVID-19 vaccines
contributes to the persistence of childism in Brazil. The Lancet
Regional Health - Americas, 2022.
- Carvalho, Bastos, et al.. Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 over four epidemic
waves in a low-resource community in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: A
prospective cohort study. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas,
2022.
- Ayala et al.. On multifactorial drivers for malaria rebound in
Brazil: a spatio-temporal analysis. Malaria Journal, 2022.
- Niquini et al.. Persistently high hepatitis C rates in haemodialysis
patients in Brazil [a systematic review and meta-analysis]. Scientific
Reports, 2022.
- Oliveira et al.. Racial inequalities in multimorbidity: baseline of
the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil). BMC
Public Health, 2022.
- Barberia et al.. School reopening and COVID-19 in Brazil. The Lancet
Regional Health - Americas, 2022.
- Silva et al.. Severe acute respiratory infection surveillance in
Brazil: the role of public, private and philanthropic healthcare units.
Health Policy And Planning, 2022.
- Brizzi et al.. Spatial and temporal fluctuations in COVID-19
fatality rates in Brazilian hospitals. Nature Medicine, 2022.
2021
- Torres, Bastos, et al.. Avaliação de risco para infecção HIV em
homens que fazem sexo com homens e a contribuição das redes de parceiros
sexuais. Ciência & Saúde Coletiva, 2021.
- Lowe et al.. Combined effects of hydrometeorological hazards and
urbanisation on dengue risk in Brazil: a spatiotemporal modelling study.
The Lancet Planetary Health, 2021.
- Izbicki et al.. How many hospitalizations has the COVID-19
vaccination already prevented in São Paulo? Clinics, 2021.
- Lana et al.. Identificação de grupos prioritários para a vacinação
contra COVID-19 no Brasil. Cadernos de Saude Publica, 2021.
- Colon-Gonzalez, Bastos, et al.. Probabilistic seasonal dengue
forecasting in Vietnam: A modelling study using superensembles. PLOS
Medicine, 2021.
- Lugon et al.. SARS-CoV-2 Infection Dynamics in Children and
Household Contacts in a Slum in Rio de Janeiro. Pediatrics, 2021.
- Coura-Vidal, et al.. Spatiotemporal dynamics and risk estimates of
COVID-19 epidemic in Minas Gerais State: analysis of an expanding
process. Revista do Instituto de Medicina Tropical de São Paulo,
2021
- Rodrigues et al.. Temporal evolution of homicide mortality in
Brazilian capitals from 2005 to 2019. Journal Of Aggression Conflict And
Peace Research, 2021.
2020
- Barrenechea et al.. Análisis por series temporales dela incidencia
de varicela y el impacto de la implementación de la vacuna en Tucumán.
Revista Argentina de Salud Publica, 2020.
- Coelho et al.. Assessing the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil: Mobility,
morbidity and social vulnerability. PLOS One, 2020.
- Carvalho et al.. Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the
risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil. Scientific
Reports, 2020.
- Bastos et al.. COVID-19 e hospitalizações por SRAG no Brasil: uma
comparação até a 12ª semana epidemiológica de 2020. Cadernos De Saude
Publica, 2020.
- Torres et al.. Do men who have sex with men who report alcohol and
illicit drug use before/during sex (Chemsex) present moderate/high risk
for substance use disorders? Drug And Alcohol Dependence, 2020.
- Gonçalves, Migon & Bastos. Dynamic Quantile Linear Models: A
Bayesian Approach. Bayesian Analysis, 2020.
- Lana et al.. Emergência do novo coronavírus (SARS-CoV-2) e o papel
de uma vigilância nacional em saúde oportuna e efetiva. Cadernos de
Saude Publica, 2020.
- Barrenechea et al.. Factores determinantes de tabaquismo en mujeres
embarazadas atendidas en instituciones públicas de la Provincia de
Tucumán, Argentina. Revista Americana de Medicina Respiratoria,
2020.
- Viana et al.. Factors associated with death in patients with
tuberculosis in Brazil: Competing risks analysis. PLOS One, 2020.
- Rocha, Bastos & Costa. Identification of Potential Allosteric
Binding Sites in Cathepsin K Based on Intramolecular Communication.
Proteins-Structure Function And Bioinformatics, 2020.
- Gomes et al.. Measuring the contribution of human mobility to
malaria persistence. Malaria Journal, 2020.
- Valois-Santos et al.. Reassessing geographic bottlenecks in a
respondent-driven sampling based multicity study in Brazil. Salud
Colectiva, 2020.
- Izbicki, DInis & Bastos. Sensitivity and specificity in
prevalence studies: The importance of considering uncertainty. Clinics,
2020.
- Niquini et al.. SRAG por COVID-19 no Brasil: descrição e comparação
de características demográficas e comorbidades com SRAG por influenza e
com a população geral. Cadernos de Saude Publica, 2020.
- Brady et al.. The cost-effectiveness of controlling dengue in
Indonesia using wMel Wolbachia released at scale: a modelling study. BMC
Medicine, 2020.
- Paiva et al.. Women who have undergone abortion in the city of Rio
de Janeiro, Brazil: application of a Bayesian hierarchical model.
Cadernos de Saude Publica, 2020.
2019
- Bastos et al.. A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays
in disease surveillance data. Statistics in Medicine, 2019.
- de Almeida et al.. Accuracy of rapid test for diagnosis of hepatitis
A with different infection rate settings and with predictive modeling.
Future Microbiology, 2019.
- Barrenechea & Bastos. Evaluation of impact of one dose varicella
vaccine on the incidence of chickenpox in Argentina. Vaccine, 2019.
- Vaconcellos et al.. Natural infection by the protozoan Leptomonas
wallacei impacts the morphology, physiology, reproduction, and lifespan
of the insect Oncopeltus fasciatus. Scientific Reports, 2019.
- Souza et al.. Nocturnal Activity Rhythm of Nyssomyia intermedia
(Diptera: Psychodidae: Phlebotominae) in Campus Fiocruz Mata Atlântica,
an American Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Transmission Area, Rio de Janeiro,
Brazil. Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical, 2019.
- Soares et al.. Studying effects of different protonation states of
His11 and His102 in ribose-5-phosphate isomerase of : an example of
cooperative behavior. Journal of Biomolecular Structure and Dynamics,
2019.
- Coutinho, Bastos et al.. The risks of HCV infection among Brazilian
crack cocaine users: incorporating diagnostic test uncertainty.
Scientific Reports, 2019.
2018
- Sperandei et al. Assessing respondent-driven sampling: A simulation
study across different networks. Social Networks, 2018.
- Juvanhol et al.. Association between demand-control model components
and blood pressure in the ELSA-Brasil study: exploring heterogeneity
using quantile regression analyses. Scandinavian Journal of Work
Environment & Health, 2018.
- Cysne-Finkelstein et al.. Evidence of Subpopulations with Distinct
Biological Features Within a Leishmania (Viannia) braziliensis Strain.
Protist, 2018.
- Bastos, Bastos et al.. HIV, HCV, HBV, and syphilis among transgender
women from Brazil. Medicine, 2018.
- Codeço et al.. Infodengue: A nowcasting system for the surveillance
of arboviruses in Brazil. Revue de Epidemiologie et de Sante Publique,
2018.
- da Silvia et al.. Integrated analysis of ethionamide resistance loci
in Mycobacterium tuberculosis clinical isolates. Tuberculosis, 2018
- Faccion et al.. p53 expression and subcellular survivin localization
improve the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with diffuse astrocytic
tumors. Cellular Oncology, 2018.
2017-2005
- Lima-Neiva et al.. Biology of Triatoma sherlocki (Hemiptera:
Reduviidae) Under Laboratory Conditions: Biological Cycle and Resistance
to Starvation. Journal Of Medical Entomology, 2017.
- Rizzetto et al.. Chronic kidney disease progression: a retrospective
analysis of 3-year adherence to a low protein diet. Renal Failure,
2017.
- Toledo et al.. Criminal justice involvement of crack cocaine users
in the city of Rio de Janeiro and Greater Metropolitan Area:
Implications for public health and the public security agenda.
International Journal of Drug Policy, 2017.
- Rodrigues et al.. Distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis in Rio de
Janeiro (Brazil): a spatial analysis. Ciencia & Saude Coletiva,
2017.
- Lima et al.. MosqTent: An individual portable protective
double-chamber mosquito trap for anthropophilic mosquitoes. PLOS
Neglected Tropical Diseases, 2017.
- Villela, Bastos et al.. Zika in Rio de Janeiro: Assessment of basic
reproduction number and comparison with dengue outbreaks. Epidemiology
And Infection, 2017.
2016
- Juvanhol et al.. Factors associated with overweight: are the
conclusions influenced by choice of the regression method? BMC Public
Health, 2016.
- Coelho et al.. Higher incidence of Zika in adult women than adult
men in Rio de Janeiro suggests a significant contribution of sexual
transmission from men to women. International Journal of Infectious
Diseases, 2016.
- MacCharty et al.. Mind the gap: implementation challenges break the
link between HIV/AIDS research and practice. Cadernos de Saude,
2016.
- Codeço et al.. Zika is not a reason for missing the Olympic Games in
Rio de Janeiro: response to the open letter of Dr Attaran and colleagues
to Dr Margaret Chan, Director - General, WHO, on the Zika threat to the
Olympic and Paralympic Games. Memorias Do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz,
2016.
2015-2005
- de Azevedo et al.. Neonatal care in Brazil: hospital structure and
adequacy according to newborn obstetric risk. Paediatrics And
International Child Health, 2015.
- Bastos, de Oliveira & Velasque. Obtaining adjusted prevalence
ratios from logistic regression models in cross-sectional studies.
Cadernos de Saude Publica, 2015.
- Zapata-Vazquez, Bastos & O’Hagan. Eliciting expert judgements
about a set of proportions. Journal Of Applied Statistics, 2014.
- Bazin et al.. Terapia antirretroviral em crianças e adolescentes
infectados pelo HIV: o que sabemos após 30 anos de epidemia. Cadernos de
Saude Publica, 2014.
- de Boni et al.. Unrecorded alcohol in Rio de Janeiro: assessing its
misusers through respondent-driven sampling. Drug And Alcohol
Dependence, 2014.
- Griep, Bastos et al.. Years worked at night and body mass index
among registered nurses from eighteen public hospitals in Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil. BMC Health Services Research, 2014.
- Bastos & Rosa. Predicting probabilities for the 2010 FIFA World
Cup games using a Poisson-Gamma model. Journal of Applied Statistics,
2013.
- Paiva & Bastos. Análise do risco de mortalidade e de morbidade
hospitalar do SUS por doenças respiratórias usando modelo de regressão
Poisson com efeitos aleatórios. Revista Brasileira de Estatística,
2012.
- Bastos & O’Hagan. Diagnostics for Gaussian Process Emulators,
Technometrics, 2009.
- Bastos & Gamerman. Dynamic survival models with spatial frailty.
Lifetime Data Analysis, 2006.
- Loschi, Bastos & Iglesias. Identifying Volatility Clusters Using
the PPM: A Sensitivity Analysis. Computational Economics, 2005.
Book and book chapters
Book
- Bastos & Wilkinson. Análise Estatística de Simuladores
(Statistical Analysis of Computer Experiments). Simpósio Nacional de
Probabilidade e Estatística 19o (SINAPE).
Book chapters
- Bastos, Carvalho & Gomes. Modelling misreported data in Building
a Platform for Data-Driven Pandemic Prediction From Data Modelling to
Visualisation - The CovidLP Project, Chapman Hall, 2022
- Gammerman, Mayrink & Bastos. Pandemic Data, in Building a
Platform for Data-Driven Pandemic Prediction From Data Modelling to
Visualisation - The CovidLP Project, Chapman Hall, 2022
- Pontes et al.. Pandemia de Covid-19 e os Povos Indígenas no Brasil:
cenários sociopolíticos e epidemiológicos, in Os impactos sociais da
Covid-19 no Brasil: populações vulnerabilizadas e respostas à pandemia.
Editora Fiocruz, 2021.
- Estimativa de risco de espalhamento da Covid-19 no Brasil e
avaliação da vulnerabilidade socioeconômica nas microrregiões
brasileiras. In Covid-19 no Brasil: cenários epidemiológicos e
vigilância em saúde. Editora Fiocruz, 2021
- Pandemia pelo SARS-CoV-2 no estado do Amazonas. In Covid-19 no
Brasil: cenários epidemiológicos e vigilância em saúde. Editora Fiocruz,
2021
- Vulnerabilidade das populações indígenas à pandemia de COVID-19 no
Brasil e os desafios para o seu monitoramento. In Covid-19 no Brasil:
cenários epidemiológicos e vigilância em saúde. Editora Fiocruz,
2021
- Carvalho, Struchiner, Bastos. Bayesian Inference of Deterministic
Population Growth Models, In Interdisciplinary Bayesian Statistics: EBEB
2014. Springer, 2015.